The analyst is warning of a repetition of the situation seen at ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach (LA/LB) at terminals around the world as exports back up with growing dwell times in Europe and the Middle East, although Asian gateway ports continue to perform well.
While LA/LB have been focused on getting long staying import containers out their terminals dwell times for export boxes have been growing.
“If a carrier advises its customers to deliver export containers at a certain date and time based on the ETA/berthing schedule of the ship and that ship’s berthing is then delayed, then there will be a build-up of export containers waiting inside the port for the ship,” said Josh Brazil, VP of Data Insights at project44.
Project44 now believes berthing delays are starting to impact container dwell times globally. Container shipping’s schedule reliability sits around just 34% according to fellow analyst Sea-Intelligence.
Looking at the key European port of Rotterdam project44 said it an average of 6.76 days export dwell time and 2.91 days import dwell time across 2021, while in the Middle East Jebel Ali had an average of 6.27 days export dwell time and 3.26 days across 2021. The Port of Rotterdam recently highlighted improving container line schedule reliability as a major factor in reducing global supply chain disruption.